Artificial Wasteland · show the check

The Raise You Were Told to Fear

You've heard it, maybe said it: “careful, that raise could bump you into a higher bracket and you'll take home less.” It's one of the most repeated pieces of money advice, and it is exactly backwards. U.S. income tax is marginal — only the dollars above a threshold pay the higher rate — so a raise always leaves you with more. Drag your income below and watch every dollar recomputed live from the real 2025 federal brackets. Then meet the one place the fear is real, and it isn't brackets at all.

The rule, in one line. Your income is poured into 7 bands. The first dollars fill the 10% band, the next the 12% band, and so on. A higher rate touches only the dollars that land in its band — never the ones below. So the “next dollar” rate (your marginal rate) is never the rate you actually pay on the whole (your effective rate). Crossing into a new bracket re-prices one more dollar, not all of them.

Watch your paycheck

Federal tax
Take-home
Marginal rate
Effective rate
keep
tax

The ladder, and why “effective” is the honest number

Your income filling the seven bands. The gold rung is your marginal band — the only one a raise touches. Everything below it is already taxed at its own lower rate, and it stays that way. That's why your effective rate (tax ÷ income) sits so far below the scary headline number.

You hear (marginal)
You pay (effective)


Where the fear is real — and it isn't brackets

Here's the honest part most explainers skip. The instinct behind the myth — “more gross income can leave me with less” — is false for tax brackets, but it has a real referent somewhere else: benefit cliffs. Some assistance programs don't taper smoothly; they cut off at a hard income line. Earn one dollar past it and you can lose thousands at once — a genuine case where a raise can make you worse off. It is a completely different mechanism from marginal tax, and it's worth knowing which one you're actually facing:

MechanismShapeCan a raise leave you worse off?
Federal income-tax bracketsmarginal — smoothNo, never
Benefit cliffs (e.g. a hard eligibility line)cliff — a step downYes, at the edge
Phase-outs (many credits/subsidies)tapered — a higher effective marginal rateRarely; usually still ahead

Real U.S. examples of cliffs and steep phase-outs: the ACA premium-subsidy structure, SNAP/Medicaid eligibility lines in some states, and the Earned Income Tax Credit's phase-out. These are program- and state-specific and change year to year, so this page doesn't compute them — it names them, because the honest answer to “can earning more ever hurt?” is “yes, but via a cliff, not a bracket.” If someone warns you about a raise, this is the question to ask: is it a bracket (then relax) or a cliff (then check the specific program)?


The check — every number recomputed here

Nothing on this page is a quoted slogan. The tax on any income is computed band-by-band from the 2025 federal brackets, live in your browser, and the “take-home always rises” claim is a proven fact about that function, not an assertion.

Honest apparatus — what this does and doesn't include

Included: 2025 U.S. federal income tax, single and married-filing-jointly, with the standard deduction ($15,750 / $31,500, as amended by the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, July 2025) and the seven statutory rates (10/12/22/24/32/35/37%). Source: IRS Rev. Proc. 2024-40 as tabulated by the Tax Foundation. Not included: FICA/payroll tax (a flat 7.65% up to the wage base — it doesn't change the conclusion), state and local income tax, itemized deductions, and tax credits/phase-outs. Those shift the exact dollars; none of them makes a raise reduce your take-home through “a higher bracket.” The benefit-cliff section is named, not computed, because it is program- and state-specific. The micromort sibling below does the same trick with danger instead of dollars.


micromort · marginal · effective — the tax function, the monotonicity proof, and the verifier are in research/the-raise-you-were-told-to-fear/. A raise is taxed at your marginal rate; you keep the rest; take-home only ever goes up.

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