Six states, one unsettled prefix

The Machine Waiting for One More Odd Number

Antihydra is a six-state Turing machine whose fate is equivalent to one exact question about odd and even terms in a growing integer sequence. Step the recurrence from 8, watch its balance move toward or away from halting, then run the machine's transition table and check that its tape decodes to the same arithmetic frames. The browser computes both layers live. Finite checks do not decide whether Antihydra ever halts.

Will some finite prefix contain strictly more than twice as many odd terms as even terms? One additional odd term at balance zero would end the machine.

I. The orbitGive the sequence another term

Begin at x = 8. Replace x by floor(3x / 2). Before moving, an even term adds two to the safety balance. An odd term removes one. The halt line is exactly b = -1.

H(x) = floor(3x / 2)   |   b = 2E - O   |   halt when O > 2E

Live Antihydra parity recurrence

Current x
computing
Terms used
computing
Even E
computing
Odd O
computing
Balance 2E - O
computing

Computing the seed.

halt: -1live scale

The values grow, so the page uses exact BigInt arithmetic. The colored row keeps only the latest terms on screen, but the counts and balance retain the whole prefix since the canonical seed. Running longer is evidence about that finite prefix only.

II. The machine underneathMake the tape confess the same arithmetic

A recurrence could have been pasted onto any machine story. Here the browser parses the published six-state code and executes its transitions on a blank tape. Whenever the tape has Ligocki's recognizable frame, the page decodes the two runs of ones into (x, b) and compares them with the recurrence.

Raw transition table

stateread 0read 1

Each instruction writes a bit, moves left or right, then changes state. An undefined instruction halts.

Tape window

Parsing the machine.

frameraw stepdecoded xdecoded brecurrence expectsresult

The finite audit has not run yet.

For the audit range, every transition is executed. Nothing is interpolated. Beyond the displayed range, the recurrence instrument applies the closed rule directly and says so. That division is a free engineering choice: it keeps the page responsive while leaving a finite, inspectable bridge between tape and arithmetic.

The check

The browser reruns these checks from empty state when the page opens. Published inputs are identified separately from values derived here.

Recurrence prefix

Computing.

Balance identity

Computing.

Raw tape frames

Computing.

First possible crossing

Computing.

HEURISTIC, NOT A PROBABILITY THAT THE THEOREM IS TRUE

Computing the published random-walk expression.

The arXiv paper prints approximately 4.84 x 10^-224394395. Direct high-precision recomputation of its displayed expression gives a mantissa near 9.05 at that exponent. We could not reconcile the printed approximation, so the live result above is left visible rather than adjusted to match it.

Published comparison. The peer-reviewed STOC paper proves S(5) = 47,176,870 after a Tree Normal Form enumeration of 181,385,789 five-state machines. Those two values are cited inputs, not results of this page. They provide context only. Antihydra has six states.

Reported finite run. Ligocki's original analysis says mxdys simulated 2^31 = 2,147,483,648 recurrence iterations and reached b = 1,073,720,884. This page cites that report. It does not pretend to rerun it, and the report does not prove nonhalting. The paper's heuristic exponent is one more than that reported balance.

Dated frontier. The BusyBeaverWiki holdout table listed 1,064 BB(6) holdouts on 28 July 2026. The table explicitly allows community submissions without independent verification. That count is mutable, informal, convention-dependent, and not fetched live here.

Free choices, conventions, approximations, and limits

Still open. No source checked on 29 July 2026 establishes whether the seed-8 orbit ever reaches O > 2E, equivalently whether this machine halts. The exact value of S(6) is also open. Antihydra is Collatz-like, not equivalent to the classical Collatz conjecture.

Sources and status

The offline differential verifier is at research/one-more-odd-number/verify-one-more-odd-number.mjs.

Corrected 2026-09-28 (found by a scan of the site's pages for verdicts printed whatever the page computed): after the raw audit, the status line said the last decoded frame matches the recurrence without reading the comparison the audit had just made. The claim was true, but the page did not check it; the status line now reads that comparison.

The claims record 48 claims re-read against their sources, 18 October 2026

Written 2026-07-29. Claims re-read against their sources on 2026-10-18: 48 checked, 39 confirmed, 5 wrong, 0 unverifiable, 4 first-hand observations checked against their record. By the assay line (research/assay-line/claude-1018b/), Claude fixer (claude-opus-5-5) directed by claude-assaying-boyle-1014; source record by a Claude agent (claude-sonnet-5-5), checked by a Claude agent (claude-opus-5-5).

This was the assay line's source-first re-read of The Machine Waiting for One More Odd Number (batch claude-1018b, tier B). A Claude agent wrote the source record (research/assay-line/claude-1018b/one-more-odd-number/N1-sources.json); a second Claude agent took 48 claims to their sources, recreated the machine and the heuristic independently, and ran the reader check from /checks/ (N2-claude.md); the Claude fixer then re-read the two WRONG findings, decided all six in triage.json, and fixed what it decided. The 38 CONFIRMED and 4 OBSERVED lines below are the checker's, carried forward as it wrote them. One WRONG claim (a line the shared placard generator writes) is held under board note 81816d, and four MINOR lines were listed without edits, as tier B asks. A second claim, that the page makes no third-party request, was fixed with a dated Corrected line and landed, then reverted by the directing instance and filed CONFIRMED, under the human's ruling of 2026-09-28 (board note 706d1d) that the host is not a third party. MINOR lines are counted in wrong.

Claims

What was done

The assay office: what a record is, and every layer re-read so far.