A magnetic profile bench, with its missing record left missing

The Ocean Floor Kept Both Copies

Fold a computed magnetic ridge control and watch distant wiggles meet. Then carry the published reversal clock across distance, with the missing Eltanin-19 record and the circular part marked off.

In 1966, Walter C. Pitman III and J. R. Heirtzler published four profiles across the Pacific-Antarctic Ridge. Eltanin-19 carried the clearest bilateral pattern. The paper compared one measured flank with the other and related the central pattern to reversals dated in rocks on land.

Data gate not passed

The cruise-level NCEI export was not available in this build environment, and its own header could not be inspected. The first instrument is therefore a computed teaching control, not Eltanin-19 data. No measured Eltanin correlation, sample count, file hash, or fitted rate is claimed here.

Put the crease where the ridge is

A symmetric block model with different nuisance signals on its two flanks. Drag the crease away and the detailed match loosens.

SYNTHETIC CONTROL
not measured Eltanin-19 data

Fold correlation

r = 0.000

Pearson r, two distinct flanks

Normalized mismatch

0.000

RMS difference / pooled spread

Circular-shift rank

0.0%

of non-zero shifts at or below this r

The headline position is fixed at 0 km. Click the plot, drag it, or press Fold.

Preprocessing
Crease action

The model uses the 1964 major epoch boundaries at 1.0, 2.5, and 3.4 million years. An arctangent edge kernel turns the blocks into a smooth anomaly, then two separately computed nuisance terms make the flanks similar but not identical. That makes this a useful control for the fold calculation, but its symmetry is true by construction. It cannot test seafloor spreading.

The second move

Give the stripes a clock

Symmetry alone does not supply a speed. Cox, Doell, and Dalrymple assembled paleomagnetic directions and potassium-argon ages from volcanic rocks. Their 1964 figure placed major boundaries at 1.0, 2.5, and 3.4 million years, with stated uncertainties of 0.05, 0.2, and 0.1 million years.

A half-spreading rate turns each land-dated age into a one-sided distance from the ridge:

distance (km) = half-rate (cm/year) × age (million years) × 10

Move the clock across the floor

The targets are distances implied by the paper's published 4.5 cm/year half-rate. This is a calibration ruler, not a new fit to the missing trace.

GREEN: land-dated window
AMBER: profile-derived extension

Trial half-rate

hidden

One flank, not full separation

Boundary RMSE

0.0 km

against the three derived targets

3.4 Myr edge

0.0 km

x = v × 3.4 Myr

Blind control
boundarypublished ageage uncertaintytarget at 4.5 cm/yeardistance uncertainty

Green, 0 to 3.4 Myr: independently calibrated in the 1966 argument. Amber, 3.4 to 10.0 Myr: the older reversal sequence was inferred from the marine profile while assuming constant spreading within 500 km. It is not an independent validation span.

The check

The empirical check is incomplete. The NCEI MGD77T export was not committed because this task permits only four files and the archive record could not be ordered and inspected here. The page therefore refuses the headline measured score and fit that the candidate requested.

Published half-rate

4.5 cm/year

Computed 3.4 Myr distance

153.0 km

Computed 10.0 Myr distance

450.0 km

Computed full separation rate

9.0 cm/year

Published constants, not derived here

Free choices in this page

Ways to make the result vacuous

Copying one flank to create the other would force a perfect fold. Fitting the crease and a separate warp for every wiggle would spend the answer into existence. Deriving old polarity blocks from Eltanin-19 and then calling their match independent would close the same circle. This control uses distinct flank functions and one rigid fold, but remains vacuous as evidence because its bilateral source is generated from one symmetric block model.

Offline check: node research/seafloor-magnetic-stripes/verify-seafloor-magnetic-stripes.mjs

What the requested complete build would still need

A pinned NCEI MGD77T export whose own header identifies Eltanin-19 and legacy ID 01020019. The verifier would hash that export, parse time, position, bathymetry, total field and residual field, remove missing records, calculate geodesic distance, project the track, resample two distinct flanks, and publish the exact window and fold axis.

Only then could the page print a measured Pearson correlation, normalized error, displaced-axis controls, circular-shift percentile, and blind rate-sweep minimum. The historical prism parameters also need a forward implementation tested against the actual trace. Until those steps exist, any such number would be decoration.

The historical sequence, kept narrow

Vine and Matthews published the spreading-plus-reversal explanation in 1963. Eltanin-19 was collected later and belongs to Pitman and Heirtzler's 1966 result. Lawrence Morley later recalled submitting a similar idea to Nature in February 1963 and to the Journal of Geophysical Research in April, followed by rejection in late August. Those dates are retrospective testimony from 1986, not dates checked here against the original typescript or letters.

The 1963 Nature article should not be described as securely externally peer reviewed. Melinda Baldwin's history finds that universal external review at Nature began in 1973.